Euro 2016
Posted: June 10th, 2016, 20:15
Yeah, 90% of you have less than no interest in football, but I thought I'd open a discussion for those who do.
I'm in a syndicate at work which goes off prediction accuracy. So I created a huge bingatron to work out the most likely outcome of each game based on qualifying (or friendlies in France's case). I'm curious to see how accurate it is, but since I spent a long time looking up scores and poring over the stats I'm also a little emotionally invested. So I've been looking forward to the event, more so as a whole than for England's contribution.
Therein lies a bit of a peculiarity. On the one hand I hate watching England play. They're fucking boring and too stressful to watch because they're too defensive and despite all my endeavours I still get hopeful that we might do well. On the other hand my mathematical model puts them as winning the tournament. So it's going to be interesting.
First up though, I have a 1-1 draw in the first game. Which doesn't look such a bad prediction right now since I reckon Romania have been the slightly better team, although 0-0 is looking more likely right now since there's barely been a shot on goal. Still, I get points for correct outcome but wrong score.
I'm in a syndicate at work which goes off prediction accuracy. So I created a huge bingatron to work out the most likely outcome of each game based on qualifying (or friendlies in France's case). I'm curious to see how accurate it is, but since I spent a long time looking up scores and poring over the stats I'm also a little emotionally invested. So I've been looking forward to the event, more so as a whole than for England's contribution.
Therein lies a bit of a peculiarity. On the one hand I hate watching England play. They're fucking boring and too stressful to watch because they're too defensive and despite all my endeavours I still get hopeful that we might do well. On the other hand my mathematical model puts them as winning the tournament. So it's going to be interesting.
First up though, I have a 1-1 draw in the first game. Which doesn't look such a bad prediction right now since I reckon Romania have been the slightly better team, although 0-0 is looking more likely right now since there's barely been a shot on goal. Still, I get points for correct outcome but wrong score.